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被幸存微观遮蔽的宏观逗你玩

被幸存微观遮蔽的宏观

2023-09-11 183 0

就是一叶障目。

世界存在极为严重的幸存者偏差状况,让几乎所有人都偏离事实的进行决策。

不发声的可能是大多数或者绝大多数被少数或者极少数发声的声浪淹没后,转变为少数的声音的那种看法,走到自己的对立面。

这其中的一个例子就是所谓劣币驱逐良币,劣币狡诈发声后逐步占据上风。

你偶尔看见的理论、现象、事件,都距离你 10亿 分之一,都不足为虑。

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